Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 45.038737 52.124900 59.449261 67.548101 76.216847 85.184758 95.131222
2026-02-08 34.106945 44.049279 54.894901 67.445968 81.425270 96.388716 113.493525
2026-02-15 27.169570 38.434652 51.261317 66.613303 84.192285 103.438112 125.862669
2026-02-22 22.928633 35.216391 49.739585 67.609774 88.521837 111.810927 139.330090
2026-03-01 19.766539 32.820647 48.786312 68.910504 92.893365 119.976167 152.337537
2026-03-08 16.192507 29.434617 46.263485 68.028037 94.456948 124.720660 161.281650
2026-03-15 12.961600 26.075676 43.444051 66.502775 95.024229 128.122485 168.521308
2026-03-22 11.915565 25.624893 44.264131 69.407269 100.847080 137.614207 182.754674
2026-03-29 10.531674 24.498962 44.066622 70.929178 104.914605 144.984476 194.482480
2026-04-05 8.659145 22.373499 42.343008 70.356404 106.299437 149.087242 202.321356
2026-04-12 7.063836 20.450695 40.738772 69.812322 107.621194 153.039177 209.920965
2026-04-19 5.944211 19.158871 39.921554 70.226046 110.082804 158.318993 219.056891
2026-04-26 4.702928 17.443947 38.381704 69.613327 111.227808 162.019237 226.362886
2026-05-03 3.756426 16.101470 37.293348 69.544013 113.021315 166.484072 234.570447
2026-05-10 2.816731 14.528909 35.712669 68.690978 113.725067 169.552006 241.052814
2026-05-17 2.324523 13.843784 35.484383 69.705445 116.843174 175.592452 251.116558
2026-05-24 1.943104 13.330876 35.491706 71.027807 120.349249 182.106388 261.751455
2026-05-31 1.346587 12.001414 34.018833 70.130582 120.854818 184.830459 267.745862
2026-06-07 0.817910 10.536390 32.167566 68.579532 120.414393 186.313557 272.182689
2026-06-14 0.764568 10.747243 33.324738 71.532896 126.071516 195.518183 286.106290
2026-06-21 0.609031 10.469765 33.560189 73.080041 129.810384 202.287213 297.037342
2026-06-28 0.352591 9.501814 32.428703 72.497798 130.609446 205.293743 303.316366
2026-07-05 0.174236 8.609858 31.352308 71.944690 131.410883 208.277586 309.548577